Wish there were a way, but ... Message #4 Posted by Gene on 16 July 2004, 11:12 a.m., in response to message #3 by Valentin Albillo
1) How many would they sell per year?
This would depend upon the price. At $100/each, they'd sell fewer than at $50/each. What's the market size in units?
Assume at $100 each, they'd sell 5,000 calculators. That's $500K in revenue. If you think that would be higher, then help me understand where the sales would come from.
2) What is HP's margin?
I personally have no idea, but assume they make 30% as gross margin. That's $150K in margin.
3) What would it cost to produce the 15cp?
Again, guessing. They have the facility to make 12cp's. Let's assume they use the same line.
New keys, new case colors, new ICs with the 15c materials inside.
Recreate the 15c rom from scratch (anyone really think that's lying in an HP vault somewhere?...I don't).
Create updated manuals.
Pay for incremental people to do all this.
Get the product listed in HP corporate's systems.
4) First year results? Negative by any standards.
All this for a product that would sell less than the 39g+. Yes, the 39g+ would sell more units than a revised 15c.
5) You've seriously underestimated the sales volume!
I don't see that. Oh, they might sell 20,000 units, but they wouldn't sell 100,000. I'd buy 2. At $100 each, how many people here would buy 10-20? It's not worth that to me, since I have a good 15c in my collection already.
6) But HP would relive their glorious past!
Perhaps. I just can't see it as worth HP's time.
It's the same reason (I assume) most of us don't bother picking up pennies when you see them on the sidewalk. They're not worth your time any more.
I don't see the 15c being worth it to the bean counters.
Gene
P.S. Feel free to substantially engage any of my points listed here, but no attacks. I AM an HP fanatic, but I think a realist too.
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